Stock Karobaar

Market Trading Stretegy 29oct 2009

2009-10-28T23:06:00.000-07:00

BSE SENSEX : Last close :16353 Hurdle :16583-16782 Support :16108-15989. Now once breaks 15989 it will kiss 15633-15514

NIFTY FUTURE : Panic will continue................ Expect slide upto 4754-4702 in hrs only. Hurdle at 4858 ,Decisive crossover with volumes will create allround buying.............!! NF will rally upto 4925 level.

market Outlook and Tips For 28-10-2009

2009-10-27T23:07:00.000-07:00

Nifty Future : 101% will kiss 4754-4702 in panic. Below 4909,Bears will have upperhand

BSE SENSEX : Hurdle :16583-16782 Support :16108-15989. Now once breaks 15989 it will kiss 15633-15514

TATA CHEMICAL : Above 276.25,Catch it and forget. (Unexpected Huge short covering on card ) Once crosses 276.25 will kiss 284-----286 level in minutes only. Your Trading Stoploss Rs.269.50

UNILEVER : Stock will zoom to kiss 285-286.50 in hrs only & there afer unexpected buying will start. Dont panic in this stock.

TATA STEEL : ust watch 497 level. Break with volumes will create another round of panic. Stock will crash to kiss 486. If breaks 486 level and closes below this level then nonstop slide upto 453-442 in next few days.

SHREE RENUKA SUGAR : Below 202 if trades with volumes then ? Nonstop slide upto 193-191 in hrs only.

Market Tips For 27-10-09

2009-10-27T04:47:00.000-07:00

NIFTY FUTURE : Last support :4970 Decisive break will take to 4923-4908 Any Rise ,Sell Sell Sell

BSE SENSEX : Last close :16470 Hurdle :16812 -16924 Support :16606 ,16494.

Neyveli Lignite : Once crosses 139.25 with volumes will take to 145.25-148 level in hrs only.

Suzuki : Break below 1516 ?

Stock will slide to kiss 1500-1495 & there after watch panic selling in this stock.

ICICI BANK : Break below 888 will take to 881 level. Once breaks 881 with volumes then nonstop slide upto 853-844 level in hrs only. (Dont hold long in this stock ,Unexpected selling not ruled out

SUZLON : Break below 79 ,will create panic....stock will kiss Rs.75 in hrs only & there after ???

Diamond Power Infrasructure LTD

2009-10-25T01:05:00.000-07:00

Background:

Formerly known as Diamond Cables Limited, Diamond Power Infrastructure
Ltd. was founded in 1970. The company began its journey, by setting up a
small, ACSR conductor manufacturing facility in Vadodara, Central Gujarat.
Over the years, through focused growth, it has emerged as India’s largest and
only integrated manufacturer of Power Transmission equipment and turnkey
services provider (EPC).
All products from the portfolio of Diamond Power Infrastructure Ltd. are
geared for Quality and high Returns on Investment (ROI).
The annual survey conducted by IEEMA in 2003, ranked Diamond Power
Infrastructure Ltd. as one of the fastest growing and most profitable cable
companies in India.

Investment Rationale :

DPIL is moving up the value chain by focusing on High margin/high
value products. To name a few, in Cables it intends to focus on Aerial
Bunch Cables(ABC), fire resistant cables and Control and
Instrumentation cables, while in transformers, it intends to focus on
132220 KVA power transformers and dry and resin cast transformers.
This will enrich product-mix and improve profitability.

With three critical businesses in its fold, namely Cables &
conductors, Transformers and EPC Projects and proposed
Transmission Towers Project, DPIL is the only fully integrated
player in the power segment, having facilities to manufacture 80%
of the T & D project requirement in-house. This gives the Company
an advantage over other EPC Players, who outsource 60 to 75% of
the project work.

The Company is proposing doubling its present LT cables
manufacturing capacities. DPIL has already commissioned HT Cables
upto 132 KVAs Manufacturing plant and propose to expand its
capacities further during the current year.

It is also putting up plant to manufacture Extra High Voltage Plant 132 KVAs to 400 KVAs
with an installed capacity of 2000 KMs p.a. Post expansion, DPIL would emerge as one of
the top five manufacturers of power cables in India and the only Company manufacturing
Extra High Voltage Cables over 132 KVAs. It further intends to produce high margin high
value added LT cables such as Aerial Bunch Cables and fire resistant, Control and
Instrumentation Cables.

In India traditionally, the industry has been dependent upon Government owned utilities
SEBs. However, DPIL has the rare distinction of having more than 40% sales from the
private companies and the ratio is likely to further improve to around 70% in the next
couple of years, as large order book comes from private clients which include L & T, ABB,
Tata Power, Siemens and Suzlon to name a few. The Company is consortium partner for
L&T and ABB for their turnkey solutions.

Order book of the company as on July, 2009 is Rs 1150 crore. Of which the EPC orders is
Rs 700 crore and manufacturing order is Rs 450 crore. Cable order out of the manufacturing
order book is Rs 380 crore. Execution period of current order book is about 13-16 months.

The company is setting up an transmission line tower plant with an capacity of 48000
tonnes at a cost of Rs 60 crore. And the plant will be commissioned by Dec 2009. Similarly
the capacity of LT Cables plant is expanded to 30000 kms and it is also adding an Extra High
Voltage Cable capacity of 2800 kms for voltage upto 500kv.

Out of the planned capex the company has already spent upto Rs 139 crore in 2008-09 and
the remaining will be spent in FY10. The company has already commenced operation of HT
cable plant.

The LT cable plant will commence operation in Oct. 2009 and the Extra HV cable plant and
Transmission Tower plant will commence operation by Dec 2009.

Last year the average aluminum price is Rs 100/ Kg and now its is Rs 84/Kg this will boost
the company margin.

The EBITDA margin of cable & conductor business is 14%.

The company expects a business of 3500 MVA in 2009-10 compared to 900 mva in 2008-09
for power transformers. The company's power transformer capacity by the way of acquisition
of apex was 10000 MVA through acquisition of Apex Electricals. Currently the distribution
transformer capacity is 2500 MVA and the company will add another 1000 MVA.

For FY 10, the company expects a minimum growth of 20% in sales.

The company has a very good local partner as far as implementation is concerned for the
Assam project. The Assam project has a mix of both urban localities such as Guwahati and
difficult terrain such as North Cachar.

Medium voltage transformers – this segment is witnessing glut in supply and the demand is
slowing down. However the demand is good for transformer of 230 KV ratings and above.

Quarterly Result :

For the quarter ended June 2009, Diamond Power infrastructure (Diamond Cables) has reported
4% drop in revenue to Rs 169.87 crore mainly due to de-growth in conductors, cables & rods
business where the revenue dipped 26% to Rs 94.86 crore. However the segmental revenue in
power infrastructure (turnkey projects) and transformers segment inched up by 79% and 69%
respectively to Rs 67.33 crore and Rs 21.33 crore. PAT for the quarter stood 28% lower at Rs
13.95 crore.

Segment Results

Power Infrastructure - Turnkey projects of service Connections
The revenue from this segment for the quarter increased significantly by 79% to Rs 67.33 crore
and the segmental PBIT also for increased by 77% to Rs 7.96 crore. However the PBIT margin
marginally slipped by 20 bps to 11.8%.
Transformers

The revenue from transformers segment also surged 69% Y-o-Y to Rs 21.33 crore and the PBIT
from the segment increased by 24% Y-o-Y to Rs 3.09 crore with PBIT margin declining by 525
bps to 14.5%.

Conductor, Cables. Rods

The segmental revenue for the quarter dipped 26% Y-o-Y to Rs 94.86 crore, while the PBIT
margin improved by 100 bps to 15%. However the PBIT declined by 20% to Rs 14.25 crore.

Valuation &View:

DPIL is the only fully integrated player in the power segment, having facilities to manufacture
80% of the T & D project requirement in-house. This gives the Company an advantage over
other EPC Players, who outsource 60 to 75% of the project work. We see huge opportunity in
EPC business over next 2-5 years.

We expect company to achieve turnover of Rs 850 in FY10, on this turnover we expect company
to register earning of Rs. 32 per share.

So we advise investors to buy this stock for a target price of Rs.340 keeping a horizon of 9 to 12
months.

Stock Market Tips 23-10-09

2009-10-23T03:48:00.000-07:00

NIFTY FUTURE : Today ,Support at 5046-5031 Suppose breaks 5031 with volumes it will crash to kiss 4985-4970 level. The level of 5092 will act as Major Hurdle !!

BSE SENSEX : Break below 16994 will take to 16830-16797 in panic.

EDUCOMP : Huge unwind of long postion !! (Day before yesterday written to sell DIVI'S ) Stock will kiss 4522-4462 Now suppose breaks 4462 level with volumes then who will save this stock ??? Nonstop slide upto 4282-4222 level.

Market View : 22-10-2009

2009-10-22T00:16:00.000-07:00

TRADING STRATEGY :22nd Oct'09

NIFTY FUTURE : 5151-5175-5186 levels are Hurdles Today ,Support at 5046-5031 Below 5031 ???? Suppose breaks 5031 with volumes it will crash to kiss 4985-4970 level.

BSE SENSEX : Do u know yesterday our expected low levels for Sensex were 17049-16994 (Just see it kissed 16997 ) Break below 16994 will take to 16830-16797 in panic.

KFA : Today just watch 56.25 level. Forget World Market ,We are Bearish in many stocks and we are short too. Today above 56.25 ,Buy 25--50-100-1000 lots. Something will come very soon. Above 56.25 ,will kiss 59-61 in hrs only. Your Today's stoploss 54.95

FEDRAL BANK : Just watch 255 level !! Break below this level ,Go short......Stock will slide to kiss 246-243 in hrs only.

BANK INDIA : Below 444,Don't hold long. Stock will slide to kiss 427-421 level in panic.

JP ASSOCIATE : Below 255 ???? Stock will slide to kiss 246-243 & there after 234-231 in hrs only.

Stock Market View :21-10-09

2009-10-21T01:37:00.000-07:00

Hi after a long time i am on the blog but now it is regular. First we thankful to all reader of my blog who visited regularly. Thank you very Much.

Market View For 21-10-09 : Due to vacation like atmosphere in market the market is moved in a narrow range the speculator and all big investor going for diwali vacation so that market is face lack of volume and moving in a sideway manner, now the crucial level for nifty is worked out at 5170 and then 5245 to 5285 for upside and at down side support at 5065 and then 4995. banking stock look bullish on chart.
This week the case of RIL-RNRL is on board so the desicion of this case play important role in market movement. the ambani broather's stand are biggist news in market.

Stock Tips for 17-09-09, Thursday

2009-09-17T02:31:00.000-07:00

BSE SENSEX : Will nonstop rally upto 16790 -16939 Support :16504 7DEMA-16303

NIFTY FUTURE : Two consecutive above 4952 will take to 5101-5151. Above 4952...Intraday can kiss 5021-5045

CLASSIC DIAMOND : Watch 21.75 Above this level ,its our Challenge ......it will hit 20% freeeze Nonstop rally upto 28--31 level in hrs only.

Crompton Greevs : Today just watch Rs.316.50 level. Decisive Crossover will create unexpected Buying. Stock will zooooom to kiss Rs.329-333-337

TATA COMMUNICATION : Above 485 ,Bull's will have upperhand. Minor Hurdle at 492.50 Crossover will create unexpected Buying upto 504--508.50

TATA POWER : Catch @ opening Bell. Stock will zoom to kiss 1313--1317.50 & there after it will flare upto 1328-1331 level.

Market Mantra For 03-07-09

2009-07-04T10:06:00.000-07:00

Our Prediction :

If Budget is Great......then it will have to cross above level.

If crosses then also will face Hurdle at 4566---4600-4737

If Budget is not favorable ....then watch Panic upto :

4159------4023 level.

Below these levels ,101% Our Dream of full filling gaps will be done ......and will crash to kiss 3728---3615---3479 level

NIFTY LEVEL : Support @ 4301----4276---4267

Hurdles for Today's session :4257-4396-4409

NOIDA TOLL : Today ,Above Rs.42.50 if trades then ????

Rs.47.25---49 on screen

BHUSAN STEEL : "You need Lion's heart..............to trade in this stock "

Yesterday close Rs.674

For Risk Free Trading and to get Fast Money.

Just Grab it ...above 680.50

Stock will zooom to kiss Rs.706---712.50 & there after unexpected buying will start in this stock.

Short Term Target :741--777

Crucial support :Rs.635

TATA STEEL : 415---422 are Hurdles

If something favourable in RAILWAY Budget...then it will have to cross 422 level.................!!

(Intraday can give whip saw movement may kiss 427 for flicker of seconds )

Crossover will take to 442---449 level.

Otherwise....................say Bye Bye to this stock to TATA too.

RELIANCE : Decisive Break below Rs.2001 with volumes and stay below this level for 5-10 minutes then ??

Watch panic upto 1961----1948 level.

Hurdle at 2057---2065 level.

RNRL : Below Rs.81.50 ............???

Stock will crash to kiss Rs.70------66.50 level !!!

Mind Matter

2009-04-03T01:59:00.001-07:00

1) Think in terms of the long run when trading.

2) Avoid outcome bias.

3) Believe in the effects of trading with positive expectation.

4) The secret of trading and of the Turtles' success is that you can trade successfully by using ideas and concepts that are well known and have been around for years. But you have to follow those rules consistently.

5) Trade with an Edge : Find a trading strategy that will produce positive returns over the long run because it has a positive expectation.

6) Forget the past, don't berate for mistakes you made.Avoid recency bias.The ability to avoid recency bias is an important component of successful trading.

Market Call for Monday 06-04-09

2009-04-03T01:46:00.000-07:00

For Monday buy on decline is a best strategy the G20 Summit is decide to give more than 1 trillion dollar to combat against global melt down. This boost our market on Monday.

ICICI BANK : It go for 385 and then 402 buy is good idea for this stock. use 347 as a stop loss and grab on Monday the next big move for market is support this stock.

DLF : after a long time we see some positive move in construction stock now if bank reduce home loan interest and further rate cut from RBI is coming then this stock has chance to touch 260 to 280 so we recomand to hold this stock for 3 to 6 week for good return

Market Comentry 02-04-09

2009-04-02T23:25:00.000-07:00

Market Overview : After a long time market give fully functional rally and Nifty Manage to close above it's crucial level of 3200 Now question in everyone mind How long this rally is sustain? The answer is little confusing. The put call Ratio is massive 2.5 and it's a all time high so it also favor of bull and it is capable to take Nifty to 3400 to 3500 level. So it's a better idea to watch market reather then go against market movement ans think to short at current market situation almost all stock give positive divergance and especially ADAG group and steel stock are giving strong rally, so becutious to selling this stock. We expect rally goest to 3750 to 4200 level before election result so hold your long position and avoid short. Below is a few stock that are continue to do rally:

RELIANCE : target for this stock is 1740 to 1800

Larsan and Tubro : It has a space to go for 740 to 780

RCOM : above 200 it capable to cross 232 and jump to 262 level also.

Hi

2009-01-31T02:42:00.001-08:00

Hello World